Africa is facing a mathematical impossibility that threatens to dismantle decades of public health progress. As the continent’s leaders prepare to gather in Addis Ababa for the AU Heads of State Summit, a coalition of Civil Society Organisations (CSOs) is blowing the whistle on a looming fiscal cliff.
Over the past 4 years, Official Development Assistance (ODA) to Africa contracted by 70%, the largest decline in recent history. Simultaneously, the continent has seen a 41% in disease outbreaks. While the threats are multiplying, the chequebook is closing.
On 5th February 2026, AIDS Healthcare Foundation (AHF) Africa, in collaboration with Africa REACH, WACI Health, an Africa regional advocacy organization, and Resilience Action Network Africa (RANA), an independent African CSO advocacy network, will convene a high-level webinar to address the “$17 Question“.
Currently, total health spending across many African nations averages just $17 per person per year. The minimum required for essential services is $60.
“We cannot beg our way out of a $43 per person deficit,” says Dr Penninah Iutung, the AHF Executive Vice President. “With donor priorities shifting and assistance declining, Africa must pivot from reliance to sovereignty. This isn’t just about health; it’s about continental security.”
Rosemary Mburu, the Executive Director of WACI Health said with a 41 percent surge in outbreaks and a 70% drop in aid, Africa can no longer remain a passenger in its own survival.
“We are demanding that the communities most affected by health crises lead the policy decisions that define our future,” Mburu said.
Africa has no shortage of bold commitments—from the historic Abuja Declaration‘s 15 percent target to the African Leadership Meeting (ALM) Investing in Health Declaration.
Yet, as we face a 70% projected drop in international health aid alongside a 41% surge in disease outbreaks, the time for ‘declarative diplomacy’ has passed.
The Webinar: A Survival Strategy, Not a Talk-Shop. The upcoming session will bring together heavyweights from the EAC, AUDA-NEPAD, and Civil Society with insights and lessons to move the continent beyond rhetoric.
The objective is to finalise a CSO-driven Call to Action that will feed directly into the deliberations of the AU Heads of State.
Key issues on the agenda include:
- The Abuja Target Reframed: Challenging nations that still fund health at below 10% of national budgets.
- Local Manufacturing: Ending the era where Africa is last in line for life-saving vaccines and medicines.
- Domestic Resource Mobilisation: Finding African solutions for African health challenges.
The webinar serves as the definitive curtain-raiser for the AU Summit, providing a platform for those most affected by health crises to inform high-level policy decisions.